Kidney Failure Attributed to Focal Segmental Glomerulosclerosis: A USRDS Retrospective Cohort Study of Epidemiology, Treatment Modalities, and Economic Burden.

Rationale & Objective: This study describes the epidemiology, characteristics, and clinical outcomes of patients with focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS)-attributed kidney failure in the US Renal Data System (USRDS) during 2008-2018, and health care resource utilization and costs among those with Medicare-linked data. Study Design: This was a retrospective cohort study. Setting & Population: Patients with FSGS-attributed kidney failure in the USRDS were enrolled in the study. Outcomes: The outcomes were as follows: Prevalence and incidence, clinical and demographic characteristics, time to kidney transplant or death, health care resource utilization, and direct health care costs. Analytical Approach: Patients with FSGS as the primary cause of kidney failure were followed from USRDS registration (index date) until death or data end. Prevalence and incidence were calculated per 1,000,000 US persons. Patient characteristics at index and treatment modalities during follow-up were described. Time to kidney transplant or death was assessed with Kaplan-Meier and competing risk analyses. Health care resource utilization and costs were reported among patients with 1 year Medicare Part A+B coverage postindex, including (Medicare Coverage subgroup) or excluding (1-year Medicare Coverage subgroup) those who died. Results: The FSGS cohort and Medicare Coverage and 1-year Medicare Coverage subgroups included 25,699, 6,340, and 5,575 patients, respectively. Mean annual period prevalence and incidence rates of FSGS-attributed kidney failure were 87.6 and 7.5 per 1,000,000 US persons, respectively. Initial treatment for most patients was in-center hemodialysis (72.1%), whereas 7.3% received kidney transplant. Accounting for competing risk of death, year 1 and 5 kidney transplant rates were 15% and 34%, respectively. In the Medicare Coverage and 1-year Medicare Coverage subgroups, 76.6% and 74.2% required inpatient admission, 69.9% and 67.3% visited the emergency room, and mean monthly health care costs were $6,752 and $5,575 in the year postindex, respectively. Limitations: Drug costs may be underestimated because Medicare Part D coverage was not required; kidney acquisition costs were not available. Conclusions: FSGS-attributed kidney failure is associated with substantial clinical and economic burden, prompting the need for novel therapies for FSGS to delay kidney failure.

This study of patients in the US Renal Data System observed increasing prevalence and fluctuating incidence of focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (FSGS)-attributed kidney failure from 2008 to 2018. Patients experienced a high clinical burden, including more than 3 years of treatment with dialysis, one-third receiving a kidney transplant, and one-third dying during follow-up. In the first year after US Renal Data System registration, three-quarters of patients with Medicare coverage required hospitalization, and more than two-thirds visited the emergency room. The total annual health care costs were >$68,000 per patient with FSGS-attributed kidney failure, underscoring the high economic burden of this disorder and the treatments required to sustain life. Novel therapies for FSGS are needed to delay or ideally prevent the need dialysis and transplantation after kidney failure.

Kidney Failure Attributed to Immunoglobulin A Nephropathy: A USRDS Retrospective Cohort Study of Epidemiology, Treatment Modalities, and Economic Burden.

Rationale & Objective: This study describes the epidemiology, characteristics, and outcomes of patients with immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN)-attributed kidney failure in the US Renal Data System (USRDS) from 2008 to 2018, including health care resource utilization and costs among patients with Medicare-linked data. Study Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting & Population: Patients with IgAN-attributed kidney failure in the USRDS. Outcomes: Prevalence/incidence, clinical/demographic characteristics, time to kidney transplant, and health care resource utilization and costs. Analytical Approach: Patients with IgAN as primary cause of kidney failure (IgAN cohort) were followed from USRDS registration (index date) until data end/death. Prevalence/incidence were calculated per 1,000,000 US persons. Demographic and clinical characteristics at index and treatment modality during follow-up were summarized. Time from index to kidney transplant was assessed using Kaplan-Meier and competing risk analyses. Health care resource utilization and health care costs were reported among patients with 1 year Medicare Part A+B coverage postindex, including or excluding those who died (Medicare Coverage and 1-year Medicare Coverage subgroups, respectively). Results: The IgAN cohort, Medicare Coverage, and 1-year Medicare Coverage subgroups included 10,101, 1,696, and 1,510 patients, respectively. Mean annual period prevalence and incidence of IgAN-attributed kidney failure were 39.3 and 2.9 per 1,000,000 US persons, respectively. Initial treatment was in-center hemodialysis (63.1%) or kidney transplant (15.1%). Year 1 and 5 kidney transplant rates were 5% and 17%, respectively, accounting for competing risk of death. In the Medicare Coverage and 1-year Medicare Coverage subgroups, 74.4% and 72.3%, respectively, required inpatient admission, 67.3% and 64.4%, respectively, visited the emergency room, and mean total health care costs were $6,293 (SD: $6,934) and $5,284 ($3,455), respectively, per-patient-per-month in the year postindex. Limitations: Drug costs may be underestimated as Medicare Part D coverage was not required; kidney acquisition costs were unavailable. Conclusions: IgAN-attributed kidney failure is associated with substantial clinical and economic burdens. Novel therapies for IgAN that delay kidney failure are needed.

This study of patients in the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) observed fluctuating incidence and increasing prevalence of immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN)-attributed kidney failure from 2008 to 2018. Patients experienced a high clinical burden, with 63% receiving in-center dialysis and over 15% receiving transplantation as initial therapy. In the first year after USRDS registration, nearly three-quarters of patients with Medicare coverage required hospitalization, and around two-thirds visited the emergency room. The total annual health care costs were >$63,000 per patient with IgAN-attributed kidney failure, underscoring the high economic burden of this disorder and currently available treatments. Novel therapies for IgAN are needed to delay or prevent the need for costly dialysis and transplantation after kidney failure.

Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparisons of Filgotinib vs Vedolizumab, Tofacitinib, and Ustekinumab for Moderately to Severely Active Ulcerative Colitis.

BACKGROUND: Where head-to-head trials are lacking, indirect comparative effectiveness can aid treatment decisions. We conducted matching-adjusted indirect comparisons of clinical outcomes with filgotinib vs recently approved comparators (vedolizumab, tofacitinib, ustekinumab) in patients with moderately to severely active ulcerative colitis (UC). METHODS: Individual patient data from the SELECTION trial (NCT02914522) for filgotinib 200 mg were weighted to match average baseline characteristics of active treatment and placebo arms in comparator trials. Efficacy outcomes were compared for biologic-naive and biologic-experienced subgroups in induction and maintenance populations, if data were available. Safety and health-related quality of life outcomes were compared in the overall maintenance population. RESULTS: Filgotinib had a similar effect on efficacy outcomes compared with tofacitinib, ustekinumab, and subcutaneous vedolizumab in both the induction and maintenance populations. Filgotinib showed improved clinical response vs intravenous (IV) vedolizumab (odds ratio, 2.4; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0 to 5.5; P < .05) among the biologic-experienced induction population, and improved corticosteroid-free clinical remission (odds ratio, 15.2; 95% CI, 1.6 to 139.9; P < .05) among the biologic-naive maintenance population. Improved efficacy outcomes were reported with filgotinib compared with ustekinumab among the maintenance population. Higher estimates of serious adverse events were reported for filgotinib compared with vedolizumab IV 300 mg and tofacitinib 5 mg; however, imbalances were noted in their placebo groups. Health-related quality of life outcomes were similar between filgotinib and comparators. CONCLUSIONS: Matching-adjusted indirect comparison results suggest superiority of filgotinib 200 mg over vedolizumab IV in terms of clinical response and corticosteroid-free clinical remission in certain patient populations, noting small sample sizes and wide CIs, which may aid the selection of advanced therapies for moderately to severely active UC. A potential increased risk of serious adverse events was reported for filgotinib 200 mg vs vedolizumab IV and tofacitinib 5 mg, but findings should be interpreted with caution owing to underlying imbalances observed between the placebo groups of SELECTION and comparator trials.

Matching-adjusted indirect comparisons between filgotinib and subcutaneous vedolizumab, tofacitinib, and ustekinumab demonstrated similar effects on efficacy, safety, and health-related quality of life in patients with ulcerative colitis. Clinical response and corticosteroid-free remission were improved with filgotinib compared with intravenous vedolizumab.

Economic burden during remission and after relapse among older patients with newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia without hematopoietic stem cell transplant: A retrospective study using the SEER-Medicare database.

Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) is associated with a substantial clinical and economic burden. This study characterized the magnitude of this burden following initial treatment with standard or less intensive therapies (hypomethylating agents [HMAs]) and throughout different treatment phases post-remission. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry (2007-2016) linked with Medicare beneficiary claims (2007-2015) was analyzed. Patients were ≥ 65 years old with AML who initiated chemotherapy or HMAs and achieved remission. Outcomes included baseline characteristics, treatment patterns, clinical outcomes, healthcare resource utilization (HRU), and costs (2019 United States dollar). Economic impacts were stratified by treatment phase (initial treatment, early post-remission, late post-remission, and post-relapse). Early and late post-remission were defined as treatment initiated ≤ 60 days and > 60 days following initial treatment, respectively. A subgroup analysis of patients receiving only HMAs as initial treatment was also conducted. Overall, 530 patients were included (mean age: 74.1 years; 53.6 % male). In the overall analysis, 68.1 % of patients received post-remission treatment; 31.9% had no post-remission treatment. Mean monthly per patient healthcare costs by treatment phase were $45,747 (initial treatment), $30,248 (early post-remission), $23,173 (late post-remission), and $37,736 (post-relapse), driven predominantly by inpatient visits. The HMA subgroup analysis comprised 71 patients (mean age: 78.8 years; 50.7 % male); mean monthly per patient healthcare costs were highest post-relapse. The economic burden of AML among older patients is substantial across all treatment phases. AML treatments that induce and prolong remission may reduce HRU and the economic burden of disease.

Real-World Outcomes of Trilaciclib Among Patients with Extensive-Stage Small Cell Lung Cancer Receiving Chemotherapy.

INTRODUCTION: Trilaciclib was recently approved in the USA for reducing chemotherapy-induced myelosuppression (CIM) among adults with extensive-stage small cell lung cancer (ES-SCLC) when administered prior to chemotherapy. There is limited understanding of real-world outcomes of trilaciclib. METHODS: A comprehensive literature review was conducted using a keyword search in the MEDLINE, Embase, and conference abstracts. Additional studies were identified through communications with the authors of relevant studies. Published and unpublished real-world studies of trilaciclib- and comparable non-trilaciclib-treated patients with ES-SCLC were included. Evidence on myelosuppressive hematologic adverse events (HAEs), cytopenia-related healthcare utilization, and other reported outcomes (e.g., hospitalizations, dose reduction, and treatment delay) were synthesized. If feasible, outcomes were compared qualitatively between the trilaciclib and historical reference groups, and between first-line trilaciclib initiators and the overall trilaciclib population. Weighted averages were estimated for selected outcomes using sample size as the weight. RESULTS: The literature search identified five unique studies based on eight records-two included trilaciclib only, two non-trilaciclib only, and one both. In trilaciclib cohorts, the weighted average prevalence of grade ≥ 3 myelosuppressive HAEs in ≥ 1 lineage, ≥ 2 lineages, and all three lineages was 40.5%, 14.5%, and 7.5%, respectively. All rates were numerically lower compared to the historical non-trilaciclib cohorts (58.8%, 28.0%, 13.0% respectively). Cytopenia-related healthcare utilization was also lower in the trilaciclib cohorts. In general, first-line trilaciclib initiators had numerically lower myelosuppressive HAEs and cytopenia-related healthcare utilization than the overall trilaciclib patients. CONCLUSIONS: The existing evidence suggests that trilaciclib may reduce single and multilineage grade ≥ 3 myelosuppressive HAEs and cytopenia-related healthcare utilization among patients with ES-SCLC in the real world. It is a promising new treatment for CIM prevention in ES-SCLC and may bring greater benefits to first-line trilaciclib initiators. Future studies are recommended to further evaluate the real-world effectiveness of trilaciclib.

Matching-adjusted indirect comparison of isatuximab plus carfilzomib and dexamethasone with daratumumab plus lenalidomide and dexamethasone in relapsed multiple myeloma.

BACKGOUND: Lenalidomide-based regimens are commonly used for early relapse in patients with relapsed and/or refractory multiple myeloma (RRMM) receiving at least one prior line of therapy. In the absence of head-to-head comparison, matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC) was conducted to demonstrate efficacy and safety of isatuximab+carfilzomib+dexamethasone (Isa-Kd) versus daratumumab + lenalidomide + dexamethasone (Dara-Rd) in RRMM. METHODS: Patient-level data from IKEMA trial (Isa-Kd, n = 179) were matched to aggregate data from POLLUX (Dara-Rd, n = 286). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were generated by weighted Cox proportional hazard models. Odds ratios (OR), 95% CI, and p-value were calculated for ≥very good partial response (≥VGPR) and treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs). RESULTS: After matching, no significant differences were observed between Isa-Kd and Dara-Rd in baseline characteristics except for patients with >3 prior lines (0.0% vs. 4.9%). Isa-Kd showed significantly better PFS (HR [95% CI]: 0.46 [0.24-0.86]; p = 0.0155), statistically non-significant improvement favoring Isa-Kd in OS (0.47 [0.20-1.09]; 0.0798), and ≥VGPR (OR [95% CI]: 1.53 [0.89-2.64]; p = 0.1252) than Dara-Rd. Odds of occurrence were significantly lower for some all-grade and grade 3/4 TEAEs with Isa-Kd than Dara-Rd. CONCLUSION: These results support Isa-Kd as an efficacious treatment for early relapse in non-lenalidomide refractory patients.

Cost-Effectiveness of Neoadjuvant Pembrolizumab Plus Chemotherapy Followed by Adjuvant Single-Agent Pembrolizumab for High-Risk Early-Stage Triple-Negative Breast Cancer in the United States.

INTRODUCTION: The randomized phase III KEYNOTE-522 trial demonstrated that addition of pembrolizumab to neoadjuvant chemotherapy provided a significant improvement in event-free survival and a favorable trend in overall survival for high-risk early-stage triple-negative breast cancer (eTNBC). This analysis evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy as neoadjuvant treatment and continued as a single-agent adjuvant treatment after surgery vs. neoadjuvant chemotherapy for patients with high-risk eTNBC in the USA. METHODS: The analysis was conducted from a US third-party public healthcare payer perspective. A multistate transition model was developed using efficacy and safety data from the KEYNOTE-522 trial. The model included four mutually exclusive health states: event-free, locoregional recurrence, distant metastasis, and death to simulate patients' lifetime disease course. Quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were calculated on the basis of EuroQoL-5 Dimensions utility data collected in KEYNOTE-522. Costs for drug acquisition/administration, adverse events, disease management, and subsequent therapies were reported (2021 US dollars). Costs and outcomes were discounted at 3% annually. A series of sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the main results. RESULTS: In the base case scenario, pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy followed by pembrolizumab resulted in expected gains of 3.37 life years (LYs) and 2.90 QALYs, and an incremental cost of $79,046 versus chemotherapy. The incremental cost per QALY gained was $27,285, which is lower than all commonly cited US willingness-to-pay thresholds. Sensitivity analyses showed the results were robust over plausible values of key model inputs and assumptions. CONCLUSIONS: Compared with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, pembrolizumab in combination with chemotherapy as neoadjuvant treatment and continued as a single-agent adjuvant treatment after surgery is considered a cost-effective option for high-risk eTNBC in the USA.

Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab plus chemotherapy as first-line treatment in PD-L1-positive metastatic triple-negative breast cancer.

Objective: This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab/chemotherapy combinations for previously untreated metastatic triple-negative breast cancer patients in the USA with PD-L1 combined positive score ≥10. Methods: A partitioned-survival model was developed to project health outcomes and direct medical costs over a 20-year time horizon. Efficacy and safety data were from randomized clinical trials. Comparative effectiveness of indirect comparators was assessed using network meta-analyses. A series of sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the results. Results: Pembrolizumab/chemotherapy resulted in total quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gains of 0.70 years and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$182,732/QALY compared with chemotherapy alone. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for pembrolizumab/nab-paclitaxel versus atezolizumab/nab-paclitaxel was US$44,157/QALY. Sensitivity analyses showed the results were robust over plausible values of model inputs. Conclusion: Pembrolizumab/chemotherapy is cost effective compared with chemotherapy as well as atezolizumab/nab-paclitaxel as first-line treatment for PD-L1-positive metastatic triple-negative breast cancer from a US payer perspective.

Clinical and Economic Impact of Upfront Next-Generation Sequencing for Metastatic NSCLC in East Asia.

Introduction: Upfront next-generation sequencing (NGS) in patients with metastatic NSCLC has been associated with cost savings and shorter time-to-test results in the United States. Nevertheless, this may not apply in jurisdictions where the prevalence of patients with actionable mutations, cost of health care, and reimbursement models differ. Methods: A decision analytical model was built to compare sequential, panel, exclusionary, and upfront NGS testing in patients with metastatic NSCLC in Hong Kong. In sequential and panel testing, patients were tested for genomic alterations (GAs) with treatment followed by sequential or NGS. In exclusionary testing, EGFR and ALK were tested first, followed by NGS. For each modality, the mutation identified, time to receive testing results, and costs (2020 U.S. dollars) were estimated. Results: Exclusionary testing required the shortest time-to-results (1.6 wk) and was most cost saving. In the scenario where all patients used exclusionary testing, a cost saving of $4.6 million was expected relative to current practice, with 90.7% of actionable and 46.5% of nonactionable GAs detected; when all patients used NGS, it would be $2.9 million more expensive with a 100% GA detection rate. Results were sensitive to testing costs and the proportion of patients that continued testing. Conclusions: Exclusionary testing is the best option in terms of cost and time-to-results in Hong Kong. This finding may be applicable for other Asian countries; however, exclusionary testing does not capture all possible GAs. As more GAs become actionable and the cost of NGS declines, NGS may become a cost-saving option.

Budget impact of capmatinib for adults with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer harboring a MET exon 14 skipping mutation in the United States.

AIMS: To estimate the budget impact of adding capmatinib, the first FDA approved MET inhibitor, to a US commercial or Medicare health plan for patients with metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC) whose tumors have a mutation that leads to MET exon 14 (METex14) skipping. METHODS: Target population size was estimated using published epidemiology data. Clinical data were obtained from the GEOMETRY mono-1 capmatinib trial and published trials. Treatments in the market mix included crizotinib, pembrolizumab, ramucirumab, and chemotherapy. Uptake of capmatinib and testing rates were based on market research. All costs (drug acquisition and administration, pre-progression, progression, terminal care, adverse event, and testing) were estimated based on public sources (2020 USD). RESULTS: The number of patients eligible for capmatinib in the first three years was estimated to be 2-3 in a hypothetical 1 million member commercial plan and 34-44 in a hypothetical 1 million member Medicare plan each year. The estimated total budget impact ranged from $9,695 to $67,725 for a commercial plan and $141,350 to $985,695 for Medicare. With capmatinib included, a marginal per member per month budget impact was estimated (commercial: $0.0008 to $0.0056; Medicare: $0.0118 to $0.0821). Capmatinib inclusion resulted in lower medical costs (commercial: -$0.0003 to -$0.0007; Medicare: -$0.0037 to -$0.0106), partially offsetting increased drug costs ($0.0011 to $0.0064; $0.0154 to $0.0928, respectively), and were primarily driven by reductions in progression and terminal care costs (-$0.0003 to -$0.0009; -$0.0037 to -$0.0125, respectively). The results were most sensitive to capmatinib market share, capmatinib price, and treatment duration. LIMITATIONS: Certain assumptions were applied to the model to account for inputs with limited evidence. CONCLUSIONS: The estimated budget impact of including capmatinib for mNSCLC with a METex14 skipping mutation is minimal, and the increased drug costs were partially offset by savings in AEs, and progression-related and terminal care costs.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of ceritinib vs. crizotinib in previously untreated anaplastic lymphoma kinase (ALK)-positive non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in Hong Kong.

INTRODUCTION: Lower-dose ceritinib (450 mg) once-daily with food was approved in 2018 in Hong Kong (HK) for first-line treatment of patients with anaplastic lymphoma kinase-positive (ALK +) advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study examined the cost-effectiveness of ceritinib vs. crizotinib in the first-line treatment of ALK + NSCLC from a HK healthcare service provider's or government's perspective. METHODS: Costs and effectiveness of first-line ceritinib vs. crizotinib over a 20-year time horizon was evaluated using a partitioned survival model with three health states (stable disease, progressed disease, and death). The efficacy data for ceritinib were obtained from a phase 3 trial comparing ceritinib with chemotherapy for advanced non-small cell lung cancer (ASCEND-4) and extrapolated using parametric survival models. Long-term survival associated with crizotinib were estimated using hazard ratio of crizotinib vs. ceritinib obtained from matching-adjusted indirect comparison based on ASCEND-4 and PROFILE 1014 trials. Drug acquisition, administration, adverse events costs, and medical costs associated with each health state were obtained from public sources and converted to 2018 US Dollars. Incremental costs per quality-adjusted-life-year (QALY) and life-year (LY) gained were estimated for ceritinib vs. crizotinib. RESULTS: The base case results showed that ceritinib was associated with 3.22 QALYs, 4.51 LYs, and total costs of $157,581 over 20 years. Patients receiving crizotinib had 2.68 QALYs, 3.85 LYs, and $150,424 total costs over the same time horizon. The incremental cost per QALY gained for ceritinib vs crizotinib was $13,343. Results were robust to deterministic sensitivity analyses in most scenarios. CONCLUSION: Ceritinib offers a cost-effective option compared to crizotinib for previously untreated ALK + advanced NCSLC in HK.

An Economic Evaluation of Pembrolizumab Versus Other Adjuvant Treatment Strategies for Resected High-Risk Stage III Melanoma in the USA.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Over the past 5 years, adjuvant treatment options for surgically resected stage III melanoma have expanded with the introduction of several novel immune checkpoint inhibitors and targeted therapies. Pembrolizumab, a programmed cell death protein 1 inhibitor, received US Food and Drug Administration approval in 2019 for resected high-risk stage III melanoma based on significantly longer recurrence-free survival versus placebo. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab versus other adjuvant treatment strategies for resected high-risk stage III melanoma from a US health system perspective. METHODS: A Markov cohort-level model with four states (recurrence-free, locoregional recurrence, distant metastases, death) estimated costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) for pembrolizumab versus routine observation and other adjuvant comparators: ipilimumab in the overall population; and dabrafenib + trametinib in the BRAF-mutation positive (BRAF+) subgroup. Transition probabilities starting from recurrence-free were estimated through parametric multi-state modeling based on phase 3 KEYNOTE-054 (NCT02362594) trial data for pembrolizumab and observation, and network meta-analyses for other comparators. Post-recurrence transitions were modeled based on electronic medical records data and trials in advanced/metastatic melanoma. Utilities were derived using quality-of-life data from KEYNOTE-054 and literature. Costs of treatment, adverse events, disease management, and terminal care were included. RESULTS: Over a lifetime, pembrolizumab, ipilimumab, and observation were associated with QALYs of 9.24, 7.09, and 5.95 and total costs of $511,290, $992,721, and $461,422, respectively (2019 US dollars). Pembrolizumab was thus dominant (less costly, more effective) versus ipilimumab, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $15,155/QALY versus observation. In the BRAF+ subgroup, pembrolizumab dominated dabrafenib + trametinib and observation, decreasing costs by $62,776 and $11,250 and increasing QALYs by 0.93 and 3.10 versus these comparators, respectively. Results were robust in deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS: As adjuvant treatment for resected stage III melanoma, pembrolizumab was found to be dominant and therefore cost-effective compared with the active comparators ipilimumab and dabrafenib + trametinib. Pembrolizumab increased costs relative to observation in the overall population, with sufficient incremental benefit to be considered cost-effective based on typical willingness-to-pay thresholds.

Model of Short- and Long-Term Outcomes of Emicizumab Prophylaxis Treatment for Persons with Hemophilia A.

BACKGROUND: Hemophilia A (HA) can result in bleeding events because of low or absent clotting factor VIII (FVIII). Prophylactic treatment for severe HA includes replacement FVIII infusions and emicizumab, a bispecific factor IXa- and factor X-directed antibody. OBJECTIVE: To develop an economic model to predict the short- and long-term clinical and economic outcomes of prophylaxis with emicizumab versus short-acting recombinant FVIII among persons with HA in the United States. METHODS: A Markov model was developed to compare clinical outcomes and costs of emicizumab versus FVIII prophylaxis among persons with severe HA from U.S. payer and societal perspectives. Patients started prophylaxis at age 1 year in the base case. Mutually exclusive health states considered were "no arthropathy," "arthropathy," "surgery," and "death." Serious adverse events, breakthrough bleeds, and inhibitor development were simulated throughout the modeled time horizon. In addition to the prophylaxis drug costs, patients could incur other direct costs related to breakthrough bleeds treatment, serious adverse events, development of inhibitors, arthropathy, and orthopedic surgery. Indirect costs associated with productivity loss (i.e., missed work or disabilities) were applied for adults. Model inputs were obtained from the HAVEN 3 trial, published literature, and expert opinion. The model used a lifetime horizon, and results for 1 year and 5 years were also reported. Deterministic sensitivity analyses and scenario analyses were conducted to assess robustness of the model. RESULTS: Over a lifetime horizon, the cumulative number of all treated bleeds and joint bleeds avoided on emicizumab versus FVIII prophylaxis were 278.2 and 151.7, respectively. Correspondingly, arthropathy (mean age at onset: 12.9 vs. 5.4 years) and FVIII inhibitor development (mean age at development: 13.9 vs. 1.1 years) were delayed. Total direct and indirect costs were lower for emicizumab versus FVIII prophylaxis for all modeled time horizons ($97,159 vs. $331,610 at 1 year; $603,146 vs. $1,459,496 at 5 years; and $15,238,072 vs. $22,820,281 over a lifetime horizon). The sensitivity analyses indicated that clinical outcomes were sensitive to efficacy inputs, while economic outcomes were driven by the discount rate, dosing schedules, and treatments after inhibitor development. Results for moderate to severe patients were consistent with findings in the severe HA population. CONCLUSIONS: The model suggests that emicizumab prophylaxis confers additional clinical benefits, resulting in a lower number of bleeding events and delayed onset of arthropathy and inhibitor development across all time assessment horizons. Compared with short-acting recombinant FVIII, emicizumab prophylaxis leads to superior patient outcomes and cost savings from U.S. payer and societal perspectives. DISCLOSURES: Funding for this study was provided by Genentech. Raimundo and Patel are employees of Genentech and own stock or stock options. Zhou, Han, Ji, Fang, Zhong, and Betts are employees of Analysis Group, which received consultancy fees from Genentech for conducting this study. Mahajerin received consultancy fees from Genentech for work on this study. Portions of this research were presented as a poster at the 2018 American Society of Hematology Conference; December 1-4, 2018; San Diego, CA.

Transparency in Health Economic Modeling: Options, Issues and Potential Solutions.

Economic models are increasingly being used by health economists to assess the value of health technologies and inform healthcare decision making. However, most published economic models represent a kind of black box, with known inputs and outputs but undisclosed internal calculations and assumptions. This lack of transparency makes the evaluation of the model results challenging, complicates comparisons between models, and limits the reproducibility of the models. Here, we aim to provide an overview of the possible steps that could be undertaken to make economic models more transparent and encourage model developers to share more detailed calculations and assumptions with their peers. Scenarios with different levels of transparency (i.e., how much information is disclosed) and reach of transparency (i.e., who has access to the disclosed information) are discussed, and five key concerns (copyrights, model misuse, confidential data, software, and time/resources) pertaining to model transparency are presented, along with possible solutions. While a shift toward open-source models is underway in health economics, as has happened before in other research fields, the challenges ahead should not be underestimated. Importantly, there is a pressing need to find an acceptable trade-off between the added value of model transparency and the time and resources needed to achieve such transparency. To this end, it will be crucial to set incentives at different stakeholder levels. Despite the many challenges, the many benefits of publicly sharing economic models make increased transparency a goal worth pursuing.

Racial disparities in treatment patterns and outcomes among patients with multiple myeloma: a SEER-Medicare analysis.

The objective of the study was to assess racial disparities in the treatment and outcomes among white, African American, and Hispanic patients with multiple myeloma (MM). Patients with an MM diagnosis from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-Medicare (2007-2013) database were included. Continuous Medicare enrollment for 6 months before (baseline) and after MM diagnosis was required unless death occurred. Time from MM diagnosis to novel therapy initiation and autologous stem cell transplant (ASCT), overall survival (OS), and MM-specific survival (MSS) was evaluated. Unadjusted and multivariable regressions compared African Americans and Hispanics vs whites. Trends of novel therapy and ASCT use across MM diagnosis years were assessed using linear regression models. The study included 3504 whites, 858 African Americans, and 468 Hispanics. African Americans and Hispanics had a longer time from MM diagnosis to novel therapy initiation vs whites (median: 5.2 and 4.6 vs 2.7 months, respectively). All cohorts had an increasing trend of novel therapy initiation within 6 months of MM diagnosis, particularly whites (all P < .05). Median MSS was significantly longer for African Americans (5.4 years) than whites (4.5 years; P < .05), and was comparable for Hispanics and whites. Median OS was similar overall (2.6-2.8 years). ASCT rate within 1 year of MM diagnosis rose among whites and African Americans (P < .05), but not Hispanics, who were less likely to receive ASCT vs whites. Significant variations in novel therapy and ASCT use were observed among different racial/ethnic groups with MM. Although OS was similar, both African Americans and Hispanics may not be fully benefitting from the introduction of novel therapies, as they receive them later than whites.

Economic Burden of Illness Among Commercially Insured Patients with Systemic Sclerosis with Interstitial Lung Disease in the USA: A Claims Data Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) is a common manifestation of scleroderma/systemic sclerosis (SSc). However, the direct and indirect economic burdens of SSc-ILD remain unclear. This study assessed and compared healthcare resource utilization (HRU), direct healthcare costs, work loss, and indirect costs between patients with SSc-ILD and matched controls with neither SSc nor ILD in the USA. METHODS: Data were obtained from a large US commercial claims database (2005-2015). Patients (at least 18 years old) had at least one SSc diagnosis in the inpatient (IP) or emergency room (ER) setting or at least two SSc diagnoses in another setting, and at least one diagnosis of ILD in the IP or ER setting or at least two diagnoses of ILD in another setting. Controls with neither SSc nor ILD were matched 5:1 to patients with SSc-ILD. Comparisons were conducted using Wilcoxon signed-rank and McNemar's tests and adjusted odds ratios (ORs) and incidence rate ratios (IRRs). RESULTS: A total of 479 SSc-ILD patients and 2395 matched controls were included (52 SSc-ILD patients and 260 matched controls for work loss and indirect cost analyses). Patients with SSc-ILD had significantly higher HRU and costs, IP admissions (adjusted IRR = 5.6), IP hospitalization days (adjusted IRR = 12.0), ER visits (adjusted IRR = 2.8), OP visits (adjusted IRR = 3.1), and days of work loss (adjusted IRR = 4.5). The adjusted difference in annual direct healthcare costs was $28,632 (SSc-ILD, $33,195; controls, $4562) and that in indirect costs was $4735 (SSc-ILD, $5640; controls, $906) (all p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: SSc-ILD patients had significantly higher HRU, work loss, and direct and indirect costs compared to matched controls with neither SSc nor ILD. FUNDING: Boehringer Ingelheim Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab for the adjuvant treatment of resected high-risk stage III melanoma in the United States.

Aims: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of adjuvant pembrolizumab relative to observation alone following complete resection of high-risk stage III melanoma with lymph node involvement, from a US health system perspective. Materials and methods: A Markov cohort model with four health states (recurrence-free, locoregional recurrence, distant metastases, and death) was developed to estimate costs, life-years, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with pembrolizumab vs observation over a lifetime (46-year) horizon. Using a parametric multi-state modeling approach, transition probabilities starting from recurrence-free were estimated based on patient-level data from KEYNOTE-054 (NCT02362594), a direct head-to-head phase 3 trial. Post-recurrence transition probabilities were informed by real-world retrospective data and clinical trials in advanced melanoma. Health state utilities and adverse event-related disutility were derived from KEYNOTE-054 trial data and published literature. Costs of drug acquisition and administration, adverse events, disease management, and terminal care were estimated in 2018 US dollars. Deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess robustness. Results: Over a lifetime horizon, adjuvant pembrolizumab and observation were associated with total QALYs of 9.24 and 5.95, total life-years of 10.54 and 7.15, and total costs of $489,820 and $440,431, respectively. The resulting incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for pembrolizumab vs observation were $15,009/QALY and $14,550/life-year. Across the range of input values and assumptions tested in deterministic sensitivity analyses, pembrolizumab ranged from being a dominant strategy to having an ICER of $57,449/QALY vs observation. The ICER was below a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100,000/QALY in 90.2% of probabilistic simulations. Limitations: Long-term extrapolation of outcomes was based on interim results from KEYNOTE-054, with a median follow-up of 15 months. Conclusions: Based on common willingness-to-pay benchmarks, pembrolizumab is highly cost-effective compared with observation alone for the adjuvant treatment of completely resected stage III melanoma in the US.

Economic Burden among Commercially Insured Patients with Systemic Sclerosis in the United States.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify healthcare resource utilization (HRU), work loss, and annual direct and indirect healthcare costs among patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) compared to matched controls in the United States. METHODS: Data were obtained from a large US commercial claims database. Patients were ≥ 18 years old at the index date (first SSc diagnosis) and had ≥ 1 SSc diagnosis in the inpatient (IP) or emergency room (ER) setting, or ≥ 2 SSc diagnoses on 2 different dates in the outpatient (OP) setting between January 1, 2005, and March 31, 2015; continuous enrollment was required during the followup period (12 months after the index date). Individuals with no SSc diagnoses were matched 1:1 to patients with SSc. Wilcoxon signed-rank and McNemar tests were used for comparisons and regressions with generalized estimating equations for adjusted OR (aOR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) between 2 cohorts. RESULTS: There were 2192 pairs of patients with SSc and matched controls included (mean age 57.6 yrs; 84.3% female); of these, 233 were eligible for work loss/indirect cost analyses. Compared to matched controls, patients with SSc had significantly higher HRU and costs during the 1-year followup period, IP admissions (adjusted IRR = 2.4), IP hospitalization days (adjusted IRR = 3.1), ER visits (adjusted IRR = 2.0), OP visits (adjusted IRR = 2.3), and days of work loss (adjusted IRR = 2.6). The adjusted difference in annual direct and indirect costs was US$12,820 and $3103, respectively (all p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: Patients with SSc had a high direct and indirect economic burden postdiagnosis.

Indirect costs associated with premature mortality among those with veno-occlusive disease/sinusoidal obstruction syndrome with multiorgan dysfunction post-hematopoietic stem-cell-transplant.

PURPOSE: The study objective was to develop an economic model to assess projected costs of lost productivity associated with premature deaths due to veno-occlusive disease (VOD)/ sinusoidal obstruction syndrome (SOS) with multiorgan dysfunction (MOD) among patients in the US who underwent hematopoietic stem-cell transplant (HSCT) in 2013. METHODS: Data sources included the US Census Bureau and Department of Health, epidemiologic research organizations, and medical research literature. The model considered only lost productivity associated with premature death, with lifetime salary assumed to reflect productivity. Average annual salary was assumed to be the same for HSCT survivors and the general population, with a working age range between 18 and 65 years. Key data inputs included number of HSCTs by graft type (allogeneic and autologous) performed in the US in 2013, HSCT-related mortality, mortality associated with VOD/SOS with MOD, and life-expectancy reduction for HSCT survivors vs the general population. Excess mortality equaled total deaths among patients with VOD/SOS and MOD minus deaths in these patients due to causes other than VOD/SOS with MOD. RESULTS: Among 18,284 patients who underwent HSCT in the US in 2013, the model estimated that 361 excess deaths due to VOD/SOS with MOD occurred (158 following allogeneic and 203 after autologous transplants). These deaths accounted for total lost work productivity of 5,990 years and $124,212,173 in lost wages, averaging 17 years and $343,791 per patient. A sensitivity analysis incorporating adjustment factors for epidemiologic and economic inputs calculated total financial loss of $84 million to $194 million. LIMITATION: Estimates of post-HSCT VOD/SOS with MOD incidence and mortality were approximated, due to changing HSCT practices. CONCLUSION: Premature death due to VOD/SOS with MOD imposes a substantial economic burden in this population in terms of lost productivity. Additional studies of this economic burden are warranted.